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·药学服务·
基于多准则决策分析评价骨科大手术后新型口服抗凝药物的综
合价值
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刘心如 1, 2* ,周鑫叠 ,杨 洋 ,龚金红 ,徐 姗 ,苏 丹 ,商晶晶 (1. 大连医科大学药学院,辽宁 大连
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116000;2.南京医科大学附属常州第二人民医院药学部,江苏 常州 213000;3.南京医科大学附属常州第二人
民医院骨科,江苏 常州 213000;4.青海省海南藏族自治州人民医院药学部,青海 海南 813000)
中图分类号 R973+.2;R969.3 文献标志码 A 文章编号 1001-0408(2025)13-1661-05
DOI 10.6039/j.issn.1001-0408.2025.13.18
摘 要 目的 评估骨科大手术后新型口服抗凝药物(NOACs)的综合价值。方法 通过文献调研收集评估证据,引入证据与价值
对决策的影响(EVIDEM)框架整合评价流程,运用多准则决策分析(MCDA)法构建多维评价体系,通过德尔菲法结合层次分析法
确定各评价权重,对利伐沙班、达比加群、阿哌沙班进行综合评价。结果 成功建立了骨科大手术后NOACs的临床综合评价体系,
计算出骨科大手术后NOACs(利伐沙班、达比加群、阿哌沙班)各级指标的最终临床综合评价权重得分,分别为利伐沙班0.399 7
分、阿哌沙班0.244 4分、达比加群0.355 9分,即利伐沙班的临床综合价值最高。其中在单一维度中,利伐沙班在药学特性、经济性
及其他属性评价方面的权重得分最高;在有效性和安全性评价方面,阿哌沙班的权重得分最高。结论 在NOACs中,利伐沙班更
适用于骨科大手术后的常规抗凝管理,尤其在药学特性、经济性和其他属性方面具有临床实践优势。
关键词 多准则决策分析;临床综合评价;新型口服抗凝药物;骨科大手术;静脉血栓栓塞;层次分析法;德尔菲法;证据与价值对
决策的影响框架
Comprehensive value of novel oral anticoagulant drugs after major orthopedic surgery based on multi-
criteria decision analysis
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LIU Xinru ,ZHOU Xindie ,YANG Yang ,GONG Jinhong ,XU Shan ,SU Dan ,SHANG Jingjing(1. School of
Pharmacy, Dalian Medical University, Liaoning Dalian 116000, China;2. Dept. of Pharmacy, Changzhou No.2
People’s Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Changzhou 213000, China;3. Dept. of
Orthopedics, Changzhou No.2 People’s Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University, Jiangsu Changzhou
213000, China;4. Dept. of Pharmacy, People’s Hospital of Hainan Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture of Qinghai
Province, Qinghai Hainan 813000, China)
ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To evaluate the comprehensive value of novel oral anticoagulant drugs (NOACs) after major
orthopedic surgery. METHODS The evaluation evidence was collected through literature research; evidence and value:impact on
decision-making (EVIDEM) framework was introduced to integrate the evaluation process; the multi-criteria decision analysis
(MCDA) method was used to construct a multi-dimensional evaluation system; the weights assigned to each evaluation criterion
were determined by the combination of Delphi method and analytic hierarchy process, and the rivaroxaban, dabigatran and
apixaban were comprehensively evaluated. RESULTS The clinical comprehensive evaluation system of NOACs after major
orthopedic surgery was successfully established, and the final clinical comprehensive evaluation weights of NOACs (rivaroxaban,
dabigatran, apixaban) after major orthopedic surgery were calculated, with scores of 0.399 7 for rivaroxaban, 0.244 4 for
apixaban, and 0.355 9 for dabigatran, indicating that rivaroxaban demonstrated the highest overall clinical value. Among them,
rivaroxaban had the highest weight score in the evaluation of pharmaceutical characteristics, cost-effectiveness and other attributes
in a single dimension. In terms of efficacy and safety evaluation, apixaban had the highest weighting score. CONCLUSIONS
Among NOACs, rivaroxaban is more suitable for routine
anticoagulation management after major orthopedic surgery,
Δ 基金项目 常 州 市 科 技 计 划 项 目(No. CJ20229015,No.
especially in terms of pharmacological properties, cost-
CJ20241119);江苏省医院协会医院药事管理研究专项课题(No.
JSYGY-3-2024-YS15) effectiveness and other attributes.
*第一作者 硕士研究生。研究方向:临床药学、药事管理。 KEYWORDS multi-criteria decision analysis; comprehensive
E-mail:1341068734@qq.com clinical evaluation; novel oral anticoagulants; major orthopedic
# 通信作者 副主任药师,硕士生导师,硕士。研究方向:临床药 surgery; venous thromboembolism; analytic hierarchy process;
学、药事管理。E-mail:Shang0308@126.com Delphi Method; EVIDEM
中国药房 2025年第36卷第13期 China Pharmacy 2025 Vol. 36 No. 13 · 1661 ·