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·药事管理·
支持医保知证决策的降糖新药多维价值评估框架研究
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颜菲菲 ,陈靖宇 ,陈家然 ,潘 晨 ,王国华 ,耿劲松 (1. 南通大学医学院医学信息学系,江苏 南通
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226001;2.首都医科大学宣武医院/国家老年疾病临床医学研究中心,北京 100053)
中图分类号 R977.1+5 文献标志码 A 文章编号 1001-0408(2025)13-1563-05
DOI 10.6039/j.issn.1001-0408.2025.13.02
摘 要 目的 基于多准则决策分析理论构建降糖新药的多维价值评估框架,为医保知证决策提供理论框架和方法学借鉴。
方法 首先,通过系统检索和获取多维度证据,为框架建立提供数据支持。其次,基于获取的证据,采用内部专题小组讨论的方式,
初步构建价值评估框架,确定框架的结构、核心准则以及情境化准则。最后,通过专家咨询进一步确定框架的准则和子准则及其
权重,明确子准则的纳入依据和参考评分的合理性并优化评估方法。结果 降糖新药多维价值评估框架由核心准则和情境化准则
组成,分别用于新药价值的量化评估和定性评价。核心准则由5个维度组成,重要性由高到低依次是可负担性(6.31)、相对有效性
(6.20)、相对安全性(6.01)、经济性(5.89)和证据质量(5.46);子准则权重被归一化校正后,医保预算影响成为了具有最高标化权重
的子准则,其次是糖化血红蛋白的控制和患者的可负担性。情境化准则包括2个维度,即创新性和公平性。结论 所建评估框架
整合了证据、利益相关方的价值诉求和决策情境,有助于实现降糖新药价值的多维度和循证评估。
关键词 降糖新药;知证决策;医保;价值评估框架;多准则决策分析
Research on the multi-dimensional value assessment framework for new antidiabetic drugs to support
evidence-informed medical insurance decision-making
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YAN Feifei ,CHEN Jingyu ,CHEN Jiaran ,PAN Chen ,WANG Guohua ,GENG Jinsong(1. Dept. of Medical
Informatics, Medical School of Nantong University, Jiangsu Nantong 226001, China;2. National Clinical
Research Center for Geriatric Diseases, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing 100053, China)
ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To establish a multi-dimensional value assessment framework for new antidiabetic drugs based on
multi-criteria decision analysis theory, thus providing a theoretical framework and methodology for evidence-informed medical
insurance decision-making. METHODS Firstly, multi-dimensional evidence was searched and obtained to provide reliable data for
the establishment of the framework. Secondly, in terms of the obtained evidence, the value assessment framework was preliminarily
constructed. Its structure, main core criteria, and contextual criteria were determined through focus group discussion. Finally, the
criteria and sub-criteria of the framework and their weights were further determined, reasons for inclusion of sub-criteria and the
reasonableness of rating scores were evaluated, and methods of assessment were optimized through expert consultation. RESULTS
The multi-dimensional value assessment framework for new antidiabetic drugs was composed of core criteria and contextualized
criteria, which could be used for quantitative and qualitative value assessment of new drugs, respectively. The core criteria
consisted of five dimensions, with affordability (6.31) having the highest weighting score, followed by comparative effectiveness
(6.20), comparative safety (6.01), cost-effectiveness (5.89), and quality of evidence (5.46). After the normalization of weight
within sub-criteria, the budget impact on medical insurance had the highest standardized weight, followed by the control of
glycated hemoglobin and patient affordability. The contextual criteria included two dimensions, i. e., innovation and equity.
CONCLUSIONS The assessment framework integrates evidence, stakeholders’ values, and decision contexts to enable a multi-
dimensional and evidence-based assessment of the value of new antidiabetic drugs.
KEYWORDS new antidiabetic drugs; evidence-informed decision-making; medical insurance; value assessment framework;
multi-criteria decision analysis
Δ 基金项目 国家自然科学基金面上项目(No.72374113);教育部 糖尿病是严重影响人民身体健康和生活质量的慢
人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(No.21YJAZH023) 性非传染性疾病。近年来我国糖尿病患病率迅速增长,
* 第一作者 硕 士 。 研 究 方 向 :卫 生 技 术 评 估 。 E-mail:
给社会带来了沉重的经济负担。2020-2030 年,我国
18851552369@163.com
20~79岁成年人的糖尿病患病率预计将从8.2%提高到
# 通信作者 教授,博士生导师,博士。研究方向:卫生技术评估。
E-mail:gjs@ntu.edu.cn 9.7%,糖尿病的社会经济负担将由2 502亿元增至4 604
中国药房 2025年第36卷第13期 China Pharmacy 2025 Vol. 36 No. 13 · 1563 ·