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in the national medical insurance system in the treatment of advanced or metastatic non-small cell lung cancer based on real-world
          data  from  the  perspective  of  the  national  medical  insurance  payer,  to  provide  a  basis  for  the  decision-making  of  the  medical
          insurance  department.  METHODS  A  budget  impact  analysis  model  was  constructed  to  compare  the  impact  of  pembrolizumab  not
          included in medical insurance and included in medical insurance on medical insurance fund expenditure in the next five years (2024-
          2028)  with  2023  as  the  baseline  year.  The  target  population  was  the  patients  with  EGFR  gene  mutation-negative  and  anaplastic
          lymphoma  kinase (ALK)-negative  locally  advanced  or  metastatic  non-small  cell  lung  cancer;  estimated  cost  mainly  included  the
          cost  of  drugs,  the  cost  of  adverse  reaction  treatment,  the  cost  of  examination,  the  cost  of  admission  and  monitoring,  etc;
          equipment  ratio  of  PEM  in  183  hospitals  of  Guangdong  province  from  2020  to  2022  was  used  as  the  market  share.  Univariate
          sensitivity  analysis  was  used  to  test  the  robustness  of  the  basic  analysis  results.  RESULTS  When  PEM  was  not  included  in  the
          medical  insurance,  the  medical  insurance  reimbursement  amount  of  the  target  population  from  2024  to  2028  was  4  933  623.5
          thousand  yuan-5  151  198.3  thousand  yuan,  respectively.  If  PEM  was  included  in  the  medical  insurance,  the  above  data  were
          11  871  972.2  thousand  yuan-14  540  571.0  thousand  yuan,  respectively;  the  increase  in  medical  insurance  reimbursement  under  the
          two  scenarios  was  6  720  773.9  thousand  yuan-9  606  947.5  thousand  yuan,  respectively.  The  proportion  of  medical  insurance
          reimbursement  to  the  medical  insurance  expenditure  of  the  year  after  PEM  was  included  in  medical  insurance  was  0.298  0%,
          0.262  1%,  0.228  8%,  0.208  2%,  and  0.185  7%,  respectively.  The  increase  in  medical  insurance  reimbursement  accounted  for
          1.084 0%, 0.995 7%, 0.888 6%, 0.886 3%, and 0.861 6% of the increase in the expenditure of the medical insurance fund in the
          current year, all of which showed a decreasing trend year by year. CONCLUSIONS If PEM is included in medical insurance, due
          to  its  high  unit  price,  the  medical  expenditure  will  increase  accordingly,  which  will  have  a  great  impact  on  the  medical  insurance
          fund expenditure. However, when the drug is used in patients with EGFR mutation-negative and ALK-negative locally advanced or
          metastatic non-small cell lung cancer, the proportion of the medical insurance reimbursement amount in the current year’s medical
          insurance  fund  expenditure  and  the  proportion  of  the  increase  in  medical  insurance  reimbursement  in  the  current  year’s  increase  in
          medical insurance fund expenditure are decreasing year by year.
          KEYWORDS    pembrolizumab;  non-small  cell  lung  cancer;  budget  impact  analysis;  real-world  data;  EGFR  gene  mutation-
          negative; anaplastic lymphoma kinase-negative; health insurance



                                                                   [4]
              在我国,肺癌的发病率和病死率均位居恶性肿瘤的                         要因素 。
          首位,其中非小细胞肺癌(non-small cell lung cancer,                近年来,国家通过“以量换价”策略对创新药物进行
          NSCLC)是最常见的类型(占比 80%~85%),且至少                      国谈,在保障药企利润和鼓励药物创新的基础上尽可能
                                            [1]
                                                                                               [5]
          70% 的 NSCLC 患者在就诊时已为晚期 。对于 EGFR                    地降低药品价格,以减轻患者经济负担 。国家将具有
          基因突变阴性和间变性淋巴瘤激酶(anaplastic lym‐                    创新性和重大临床价值的药品优先列入医保目录,但针
          phoma kinase,ALK)阴性的局部晚期或转移性 NSCLC                 对某些发病率不断增高的恶性肿瘤的靶向药物,若将其
          患者,程序性死亡受体 1(programmed death-1,PD-1)/程            纳入医保则可能对医保基金的持续运行产生较大影响,
          序性死亡受体配体1(programmed death-ligand 1,PD-Ll)         故须通过预算影响分析预估其治疗成本费用,以确定该
          抑制剂联合或不联合化疗已经成为其一线标准治疗方                            类药物的医保支付价格以及为相关支付政策提供依
                                                                                            [7]
            [2]
                                                               [6]
          案 。帕博利珠单抗(pembrolizumab,PEM)是一种PD-1                据 。PEM 便是其中的代表性药物 。此外,现实世界
          抑制剂,其联合放化疗用于晚期或转移性 NSCLC 的临                        中我国的医疗卫生政策比较复杂,且药物的实际应用过
          床疗效显著,可改善患者的免疫功能,提高患者的生活                           程与严格控制条件的临床试验之间存在着较大偏差,故
                               [3]
          质量,且不增加不良反应 。2022 年美国国立综合癌症                        有必要基于真实世界数据对PEM纳入医保前后对医保
          网络发布的第 5 版 NSCLC 临床实践指南和中国临床肿                      基金支出的影响进行讨论。PEM自2018年在我国上市

          瘤 学 会(Chinese  Society  of  Clinical  Oncology,CSCO)  以来,在治疗晚期或转移性 NSCLC 方面的真实世界研
                                                                       [8]
          2023 年发布的 NSCLC 诊治指南都将 PEM 单药或联合                   究数据较少 。本研究将基于真实世界数据,通过预算
          化疗方案作为NSCLC的一线疗法。但是在实际临床治                          影响分析,预估将PEM作为治疗EGFR基因突变阴性和
          疗过程中,该药高昂的价格成为制约患者治疗进程的重                           ALK阴性的局部晚期或转移性NSCLC一线用药纳入国


          中国药房  2024年第35卷第17期                                              China Pharmacy  2024 Vol. 35  No. 17    · 2115 ·
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